Analytics
Resolved Juncheng Shang on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juncheng Shang at 57.5%. The Juncheng Shang side opened at 57.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $607.89K traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 11:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Juncheng Shang price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Juncheng Shang price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 57.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sebastian Baez | 21.93K |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Sebastian Baez | 11.9K |
| Kkunn | Sebastian Baez | 10.67K |
| xabidaking | Sebastian Baez |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juncheng Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Juncheng Shang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shang-baez-2026-09-29
| 5.42K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Sebastian Baez | 5.35K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Sebastian Baez | 4.93K |
| pltrkr111 | Sebastian Baez | 4.76K |
| Horrible-Recording | Sebastian Baez | 4.42K |
| sau18 | Sebastian Baez | 3.54K |
| RebornAthena | Sebastian Baez | 2.55K |
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