Analytics
Resolved Shang on 19 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Shang at 74.5%. The Shang side opened at 73% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 19 Jan 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 19 Jan 2026 and the lowest 73% on 16 Jan 2026. $63K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Shang price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 19 Jan 2026, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Shang price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 73.0% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kiinndz | Agut | 1K |
| Basquetipster | Agut | 400 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Agut | 293 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Agut | 230 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Roberto Bautista Agut in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. This market will resolve to 'Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Juncheng Shang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shang-agut-2026-01-18
| boogz | Agut | 199.99 |
| joshua0 | Agut | 156.25 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Agut | 118 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Agut | 93 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Agut | 86 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Agut | 80 |
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