Analytics
Resolved Daniel Merida Aguilar on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniel Merida Aguilar at 84.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 12 Jul 2026 and the low 15.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 16.5% on 13 Jul 2026. $43.96K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 5:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Ziga Sesko | 10K |
| Impish-Race | Ziga Sesko | 4.25K |
| ArturitoFilito | Ziga Sesko | 3.5K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Ziga Sesko | 2.45K |
| NineRise9 | Ziga Sesko | 1.29K |
| LaarsY | Ziga Sesko | 576.1 |
| guyefwalkfvhujajeswdgfa | Ziga Sesko | 300 |
| Lilybaeum | Ziga Sesko | 182.82 |
| tenidspfmsp | Ziga Sesko | 180.77 |
| hecibala | Ziga Sesko | 150 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Ziga Sesko and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ziga Sesko' if Ziga Sesko advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Ziga Sesko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-sesko-aguilar-2026-07-13
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