Analytics
Resolved Juan Manuel La Serna on 16 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Juan Manuel La Serna at 48.5%. The Juan Manuel La Serna side was at 44.5% at 16 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 16 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 48.5% on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 44.5% on 16 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $325.69K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 11:19 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Juan Manuel La Serna price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 16 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Juan Manuel La Serna price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 44.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Franco Roncadelli | 27.81K |
| Generous-Impudence | Franco Roncadelli | 9.54K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Franco Roncadelli | 6.51K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Franco Roncadelli |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Franco Roncadelli. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-serna-roncade-2026-10-16
| 2.44K |
| rugmoney | Franco Roncadelli | 1.39K |
| buzaiyouyu | Franco Roncadelli | 1.34K |
| Dom91 | Franco Roncadelli | 1.33K |
| Wrong-Pod-Muscle | Franco Roncadelli | 921.5 |
| Po1yamory | Franco Roncadelli | 749.68 |
| petar.sucic | Franco Roncadelli | 717.39 |
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