Analytics
Resolved Toby Samuel on 3 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Toby Samuel at 75.5%. The Toby Samuel side opened at 50% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 3 Mar 2026, the highest close was 75.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 50% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 65% on 2 Mar 2026. $52.18K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Toby Samuel price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 3 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Toby Samuel price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | 75.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| machachong | Raul Brancaccio | 622 |
| charles366 | Raul Brancaccio | 546 |
| montty | Raul Brancaccio | 502.55 |
| Arbga2026 | Raul Brancaccio | 472 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Raul Brancaccio in the Hersonissos, scheduled for March 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Raul Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Toby Samuel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-samuel-brancac-2026-03-02
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Raul Brancaccio | 31 |
| TiffanyBowen | Raul Brancaccio | 15 |
| beituyin | Raul Brancaccio | 15 |
| Serpentine-Flicker | Raul Brancaccio | 4.17 |
| cabwyt | Toby Samuel | 0.03 |
| 20251021 | Toby Samuel | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
