Analytics
Trading is closed with the Holger Rune side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across 3 price reads from 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 18 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 59.5% on 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 54% on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
$16.14K has traded since listing.
The largest position is sbsport with 1 Raphael Collignon shares.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 7:01 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Holger Rune price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Holger Rune price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 59.5% |
| 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 57.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sbsport | Raphael Collignon | 0.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Raphael Collignon in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Holger Rune. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-rune-collign-2026-10-19
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