Analytics
Resolved Daniel Altmaier on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniel Altmaier at 33.5%. The Holger Rune side opened at 69.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 7 Oct 2026. $1.36M traded over the market's life.
226 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Holger Rune price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 7 Oct 2026, chart shows 62%–74%
| Observed | Holger Rune price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 69.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mastermoney | Holger Rune | 60.19K |
| kkookkoo | Holger Rune | 37.89K |
| SineNooneEI | Holger Rune | 10K |
| manvsrice42 | Holger Rune | 9.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Holger Rune. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-rune-altmaie-2026-10-06
| Exalted-Evocation | Holger Rune | 5.68K |
| XPX0086 | Holger Rune | 1.87K |
| Lanilo | Holger Rune | 1.75K |
| Nc1989 | Holger Rune | 1.73K |
| Illiasca | Holger Rune | 1.61K |
| rockoncool | Holger Rune | 1.51K |
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