Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniil Medvedev at 66.5%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 11 May 2026. $1.41M traded over the market's life.
231 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 8:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 35.5% |
| 11 May 2026 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| greek404 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 97.01K |
| Dishonest-Bloom | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 47.47K |
| NorthBalticMan9 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 11.3K |
| Errrrreapau | Pablo Llamas Ruiz |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Daniil Medvedev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ruiz-medvede-2026-05-11
| 9.86K |
| MaxiChibrax | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 8.53K |
| Bagwell306 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6.34K |
| Valui | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6.27K |
| Swift Tide 0C3A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 5.26K |
| HowieRatner | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 4.06K |
| gardiner | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 3.09K |
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