Analytics
The Franco Roncadelli side is at 55.5%, down 5.5 points from 61% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026, the highest close was 61% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 52.5% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian”.
$32.61K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $50.64K since listing. The order book holds $148.6K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 265 trades, $13.74K bought Franco Roncadelli and $12.6K bought Valerio Aboian; the largest was a $4.21K sell of Valerio Aboian at 50.0¢.
The largest Franco Roncadelli position is UpTheBlues with 12.6K shares; the largest Valerio Aboian position is ferrariChampions2026 with 6.2K. Ten wallets hold 65.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:24 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Franco Roncadelli price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–65%
| Observed | Franco Roncadelli price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 61.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Franco Roncadelli | 12.56K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Valerio Aboian | 6.24K |
| Violet Kestrel C016 | Franco Roncadelli | 3.27K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Roncadelli and Valerio Aboian in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Franco Roncadelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-roncade-aboian-2026-10-26
| Puddingcake | Franco Roncadelli | 3.06K |
| Odd-Deformation | Valerio Aboian | 3K |
| 6512395314597884 | Franco Roncadelli | 2.75K |
| RN1 | Valerio Aboian | 2.6K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn | Valerio Aboian | 2.45K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Valerio Aboian | 2.2K |
| tradecraft | Franco Roncadelli | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
