Analytics
Resolved Arthur Rinderknech on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arthur Rinderknech at 59.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 18 May 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 18 May 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 17 May 2026. $481.24K traded over the market's life.
149 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 2:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 May 2026 – 18 May 2026, chart shows 35%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 18 May 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RITALINEWITHSNUS | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 19.89K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 7.74K |
| agent8perry | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 5.2K |
| WinsonEnterpriseCorp | Thiago Agustin Tirante |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-rinderk-tirante-2026-05-18
| 3.93K |
| Ivanet109 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 3.72K |
| Castledsasngiod | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 3.45K |
| thalbitzer | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1.34K |
| BlasdeLezo1492 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1.25K |
| eanvanezygv | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1K |
| Brick888 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 983.61 |
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