Analytics
Resolved Juan Manuel Cerundolo on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 38.5%. The Arthur Rinderknech side opened at 61.5% on 15 Aug 2026. $1.18M traded over the market's life.
139 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 8:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Arthur Rinderknech price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 56%–68%
| Observed | Arthur Rinderknech price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 61.5% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | 106.6K |
| AV23IUa | Arthur Rinderknech | 50K |
| Zelenskys-suit | Arthur Rinderknech | 5.1K |
| Sinnerr | Arthur Rinderknech | 5K |
| VanGen | Arthur Rinderknech | 4.84K |
| holyXDD | Arthur Rinderknech | 4.44K |
| k56 | Arthur Rinderknech | 3.2K |
| TrajanCapital | Arthur Rinderknech | 3.03K |
| Kalahanda | Arthur Rinderknech | 2.26K |
| Escorpion2030 | Arthur Rinderknech | 2.03K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-rinderk-cerund-2026-08-16
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