Analytics
Resolved Niels McDonald on 23 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Niels McDonald at 38.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 70% on 22 Jun 2026 and the low 50% on 21 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 70% on 22 Jun 2026. $80.22K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 24, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 21 Jun 2026 – 23 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Reliable-Giggle | Michele Ribecai | 7.38K |
| Izy-al-habit | Michele Ribecai | 645.42 |
| nottolost | Michele Ribecai | 600 |
| Warmhearted-Laptop | Michele Ribecai | 476.19 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour4 | Michele Ribecai | 378.64 |
| eanvanezygv | Michele Ribecai | 225 |
| DaSlayer246 | Michele Ribecai | 204.55 |
| dj0806 | Michele Ribecai | 178.74 |
| Wgod3 | Michele Ribecai | 171.19 |
| Hoarse-Tax | Michele Ribecai | 119.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Niels McDonald in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ribecai-mcdona-2026-06-22
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