
Resolved Sinner on 18 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sinner at 96.5%. The Popyrin side opened at 50.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the low 3.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3.5% on 18 Feb 2026. $309.8K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 20, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Popyrin price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 17 Feb 2026 – 18 Feb 2026
| Observed | Popyrin price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Popyrin | 52.86K |
| Criminal-Sphynx | Popyrin | 10.43K |
| synnet | Popyrin | 9.01K |
| Middler0x | Popyrin | 8.87K |
| Harmful-Wood | Popyrin | 4K |
| Goo77 | Popyrin | 3.52K |
| Jacobxmays | Popyrin | 2.28K |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Popyrin | 982 |
| alicebets | Popyrin | 774.95 |
| Worse-Bayou | Popyrin | 628.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Jannik Sinner in the Qatar Open, scheduled for February 18 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to 'Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Alexei Popyrin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-popyrin-sinner-2026-02-18
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