Analytics
Resolved Tommy Paul on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Tommy Paul at 58.5%. The Tommy Paul side opened at 57.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the low 57.5% on 11 Oct 2026. $753.35K traded over the market's life.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 2:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Tommy Paul price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Tommy Paul price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Valentin Vacherot | 59.17K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Valentin Vacherot | 17.53K |
| nuuki | Valentin Vacherot | 15.5K |
| xabidaking | Valentin Vacherot | 10.89K |
| Ivory Voyager A524 | Valentin Vacherot | 9.43K |
| therighthand | Valentin Vacherot | 6.61K |
| astapzippo | Valentin Vacherot | 6.5K |
| Lilybaeum | Valentin Vacherot | 5.85K |
| ghostorder | Valentin Vacherot | 4.77K |
| Cosmic Signal 8407 | Valentin Vacherot | 3.81K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-paul-vachero-2026-10-11
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