Analytics
Resolved Paul on 21 Jan 2026.
$27.1K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Paul price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 21 Jan 2026, chart shows 84%–94%
| Observed | Paul price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 89.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dog345 | Tirante | 7.45K |
| Flawless-Leather | Tirante | 1.12K |
| foooool | Tirante | 200 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Tirante | 195 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Tirante | 194 |
| zxcursed121 | Tirante | 180 |
| BlindOrangutan | Tirante | 157.45 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Tirante | 122 |
| ATPTOUR | Tirante | 103.01 |
| sarahgamesay | Tirante | 85.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 20 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-paul-tirante-2026-01-21
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