Analytics
Resolved Tommy Paul on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Tommy Paul at 92.5%. The Tommy Paul side opened at 57.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 92.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the low 57.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 92.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $465.62K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Tommy Paul price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026
| Observed | Tommy Paul price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 57.5% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Hubert Hurkacz | 96.65K |
| UpTheBlues | Hubert Hurkacz | 22.47K |
| kamloic | Hubert Hurkacz | 15.42K |
| Quiet Falcon 78F8 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.01K |
| hi774c | Hubert Hurkacz | 937.5 |
| Royal Atlas 0FCE | Hubert Hurkacz | 700 |
| Indigo Summit 4D49 | Hubert Hurkacz | 599 |
| TE2137 | Hubert Hurkacz | 510.2 |
| Lunar Comet E889 | Hubert Hurkacz | 349.22 |
| Juzesu | Hubert Hurkacz | 277.78 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-paul-hurkacz-2026-08-15
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