Analytics
Resolved Juan Pablo Varillas on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juan Pablo Varillas at 37.5%. The Francesco Passaro side opened at 50% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 62.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the low 50% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 62.5% on 10 Sep 2026. $416.11K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 9:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Francesco Passaro price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 9 Sep 2026 – 10 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | Francesco Passaro price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Francesco Passaro | 90.63K |
| jimbimbimii | Francesco Passaro | 21.72K |
| RebornAthena | Francesco Passaro | 6.47K |
| Carlos10 | Francesco Passaro | 1.89K |
| Swift Voyager AB15 | Francesco Passaro | 928.96 |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Francesco Passaro | 873.01 |
| Notradecopy | Francesco Passaro | 793.65 |
| Grimy-Noodle | Francesco Passaro | 690 |
| Cosmic Kestrel 3D11 | Francesco Passaro | 547.11 |
| VibeBetting2 | Francesco Passaro | 517.85 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-passaro-varilla-2026-09-10
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