Analytics
Resolved Reilly Opelka on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Reilly Opelka at 100%. The Reilly Opelka side opened at 47.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 100% on 5 Mar 2026.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 3:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Reilly Opelka price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Reilly Opelka price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| one8tyfive | Ethan Quinn | 19.27K |
| Crazy-Tutu | Ethan Quinn | 7.44K |
| sunflowaa | Ethan Quinn | 4.32K |
| Suburban-Arrest | Ethan Quinn | 3.37K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Reilly Opelka and Ethan Quinn in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 4 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reilly Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Ethan Quinn. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if Ethan Quinn advances against Reilly Opelka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-opelka-quinn-2026-03-04
| GILTIKUS | Ethan Quinn | 819 |
| desperatedescartes | Ethan Quinn | 202.63 |
| akosialex703 | Ethan Quinn | 178.57 |
| racskapur | Ethan Quinn | 135.29 |
| AlexSaidenstat | Ethan Quinn | 125 |
| melttex | Ethan Quinn | 120 |
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