Analytics
Resolved Paul on 14 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Paul at 61.5%. The Opelka side opened at 38.5% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 14 Jan 2026, the price held at 38.5%. $29.73K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Opelka price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 14 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Opelka price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 38.5% |
| 14 Jan 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sidekicks | Opelka | 7K |
| Same-Incidence | Opelka | 2.64K |
| RebornAthena | Opelka | 1.5K |
| EHisr | Opelka | 1K |
| Bienville | Opelka | 912.43 |
| GUSENTUM | Opelka | 500 |
| BlueJay12345 | Opelka | 184 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Opelka | 156 |
| Lunar Harbor CFCF | Opelka | 125 |
| synnet | Opelka | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Reilly Opelka and Tommy Paul in the Adelaide International, scheduled for January 13 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Reilly Opelka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-opelka-paul-2026-01-13
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