Analytics
Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thiago Agustin Tirante at 60.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 14 Jul 2026. $159.17K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 11:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sebastian Ofner | 17.63K |
| Bagwell306 | Sebastian Ofner | 6.36K |
| sentrio | Sebastian Ofner | 5.61K |
| dex57 | Sebastian Ofner | 4.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ofner-tirante-2026-07-13
| Faithful-Jazz | Sebastian Ofner | 4.09K |
| nat08 | Sebastian Ofner | 3.5K |
| ForAndWithYou | Sebastian Ofner | 2.79K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Sebastian Ofner | 1.89K |
| Meowtchi | Sebastian Ofner | 1.83K |
| igot50k | Sebastian Ofner | 1.66K |
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