Analytics
Resolved Sebastian Ofner on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sebastian Ofner at 38.5%. Yes opened at 61% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 7 May 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 60.5% on 6 May 2026. $188.86K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 May 2026 – 7 May 2026, chart shows 56%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 61.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mirror2000 | Alex Michelsen | 14.7K |
| cumulus33 | Alex Michelsen | 4.53K |
| Webbed-Cork | Alex Michelsen | 1.52K |
| Truthful-Hydroxyl | Alex Michelsen | 750 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Alex Michelsen in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ofner-michels-2026-05-06
| blindsamsam | Alex Michelsen | 667 |
| Unnatural-Destination | Alex Michelsen | 657.89 |
| TOWERCAPITAL | Alex Michelsen | 500 |
| Garrythesnail | Alex Michelsen | 476 |
| ProbSniper | Alex Michelsen | 430 |
| Humble-Hint | Alex Michelsen | 428.54 |
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