Analytics
Resolved Sebastian Ofner on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sebastian Ofner at 64.5%. The Sebastian Ofner side opened at 57.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the low 57.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 64.5% on 3 Mar 2026. $102.26K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 7:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Sebastian Ofner price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Sebastian Ofner price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 57.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | George Loffhagen | 5.15K |
| LynxTitan | George Loffhagen | 818 |
| TelegramTeleblog | George Loffhagen | 347.51 |
| KJFTW | George Loffhagen | 252.4 |
| Best-Hunter | George Loffhagen | 191.85 |
| PolloVolador | George Loffhagen | 167 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | George Loffhagen | 60.6 |
| Bright Signal 4F82 | George Loffhagen | 42.06 |
| qeqr | George Loffhagen | 34.49 |
| Mussaaaard | George Loffhagen | 33.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and George Loffhagen in the Thionville, scheduled for March 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against George Loffhagen. This market will resolve to 'George Loffhagen' if George Loffhagen advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ofner-loffhag-2026-03-02
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