Analytics
Resolved Alex Martinez on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Martinez at 39%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 29 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 61% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 61% on 1 Jul 2026. $33.41K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 55%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2026 | 68.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| blank7633 | Rio Noguchi | 2.73K |
| thestingsnake | Rio Noguchi | 511.74 |
| Waitimcooking | Rio Noguchi | 503.98 |
| Faithful-Jazz | Rio Noguchi | 488.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Alex Martinez in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Alex Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Martinez' if Alex Martinez advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-noguchi-alexmar-2026-06-29
| luktrade23 | Rio Noguchi | 485.3 |
| mmego | Rio Noguchi | 430.76 |
| Apt-Sensitive | Rio Noguchi | 322.18 |
| Square-Epithelium-Midnight | Rio Noguchi | 263.1 |
| eoneq | Rio Noguchi | 259 |
| SlavaKpss777 | Rio Noguchi | 236.92 |
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