Analytics
Resolved Mariano Navone on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mariano Navone at 60.5%. The Mariano Navone side opened at 60% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 60.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 60% on 19 Oct 2026. $396.13K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 11:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mariano Navone price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Mariano Navone price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 60.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Reliable-Giggle | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 8.89K |
| kkookkoo | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 7.52K |
| DrStatistics | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 5K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 4.85K |
| GeepaP | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 4K |
| MrBently | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 3.33K |
| MarinM | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1.28K |
| sentrio | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1.21K |
| Boogiereach | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1.12K |
| 1lovejump | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 906.85 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-navone-cerund-2026-10-19
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