Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63.5%. Yes opened at 54% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 51% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 63.5% on 8 Oct 2026. $12.46K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 7:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 54.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JaneRibeira | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-navone-busta-2026-10-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
