Analytics
Resolved Pablo Carreno Busta on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Pablo Carreno Busta at 41.5%. The Mariano Navone side opened at 50% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 6 Oct 2026. $1.41M traded over the market's life.
216 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 9:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mariano Navone price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Mariano Navone price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scotty8153 | Mariano Navone | 18.51K |
| xabidaking | Mariano Navone | 15.08K |
| VFASA12 | Mariano Navone | 13.26K |
| Gamer-Girl | Mariano Navone | 4.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-navone-busta-2026-10-06
| roldy | Mariano Navone | 3.04K |
| arman1969 | Mariano Navone | 3K |
| k56 | Mariano Navone | 2.33K |
| Zelenskys-suit | Mariano Navone | 2.31K |
| Takeshirosoku | Mariano Navone | 2.13K |
| Eztennis | Mariano Navone | 2.1K |
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