Analytics
Resolved Luca Nardi on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Luca Nardi at 49.5%. The Luca Nardi side opened at 44.5% on 12 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $239.86K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 6:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Luca Nardi price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Luca Nardi price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | August Holmgren | 2.47K |
| CandleHammerDrums | August Holmgren | 2.3K |
| Hiho820 | August Holmgren | 1.84K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | August Holmgren |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against August Holmgren. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-nardi-holmgre-2026-10-13
| 1.6K |
| petyas231 | August Holmgren | 1.29K |
| triplenicks | August Holmgren | 944.75 |
| rugmoney | August Holmgren | 846.13 |
| shiifoo | August Holmgren | 835 |
| Known-Icing | August Holmgren | 748 |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | August Holmgren | 414 |
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