Analytics
Resolved Majchrzak on 4 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Majchrzak at 35%. The Nakashima side opened at 66% on 3 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2025 to 4 Oct 2025, the highest close was 66% on 3 Oct 2025 and the lowest 65% on 4 Oct 2025. $12.36K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Nakashima price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Oct 2025 – 4 Oct 2025, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Nakashima price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | 66.0% |
| 4 Oct 2025 | 65.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lettucepray | Nakashima | 1.5K |
| xTaitey | Nakashima | 328.39 |
| Lilpump | Nakashima | 37.31 |
| Canine-Snakebite | Nakashima | 15.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Kamil Majchrzak in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-nakashima-vs-majchrzak-2025-10-04
| Deafening-Possible | Nakashima | 14 |
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