Analytics
Resolved Brandon Nakashima on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Brandon Nakashima at 85.5%. The Brandon Nakashima side opened at 84% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 85.5% on 31 Aug 2026 and the low 84% on 29 Aug 2026. $28.05K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Brandon Nakashima price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026, chart shows 78%–90%
| Observed | Brandon Nakashima price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 84.0% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 85.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Sebastian Baez | 7.07K |
| HomeRunHazard | Sebastian Baez | 3.96K |
| omnibus-076daa | Sebastian Baez | 3.54K |
| ghostorder | Sebastian Baez | 900 |
| LiquidatedDegen | Sebastian Baez | 714.29 |
| Gl4d | Sebastian Baez | 701 |
| sentrio | Sebastian Baez | 494.84 |
| Impish-Race | Sebastian Baez | 353.1 |
| Faithful-Jazz | Sebastian Baez | 295.62 |
| Murky-Fallingout | Sebastian Baez | 274.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-nakashi-baez-2026-08-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
