Analytics
Resolved Frances Tiafoe on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Frances Tiafoe at 56.5%. The Lorenzo Musetti side opened at 51.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 22 Aug 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 43.5% on 22 Aug 2026. $1.12M traded over the market's life.
260 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 1:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lorenzo Musetti price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Lorenzo Musetti price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 51.5% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 77.74K |
| kamloic | Lorenzo Musetti | 43.75K |
| BaccaratRoulette | Lorenzo Musetti | 36.78K |
| Lunar Comet BF4B | Lorenzo Musetti |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-tiafoe-2026-08-21
| 32.63K |
| Teslaleps | Lorenzo Musetti | 26.62K |
| Jade Beacon 3953 | Lorenzo Musetti | 24.76K |
| RDXR | Lorenzo Musetti | 20.77K |
| Kayodexx | Lorenzo Musetti | 18.87K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Lorenzo Musetti | 11.36K |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Lorenzo Musetti | 10.2K |
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