Analytics
Resolved Casper Ruud on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Casper Ruud at 64.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 11 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 May 2026 to 12 May 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 12 May 2026. $653.24K traded over the market's life.
216 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 12:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 May 2026 – 12 May 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | 37.5% |
| 12 May 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 36.46K |
| Bagwell306 | Lorenzo Musetti | 19.83K |
| ThreeLions | Lorenzo Musetti | 15.64K |
| RichRa | Lorenzo Musetti |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Casper Ruud in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-ruud-2026-05-12
| 7K |
| MaxiChibrax | Lorenzo Musetti | 6.24K |
| hi774c | Lorenzo Musetti | 5.77K |
| Smartguys | Lorenzo Musetti | 5.41K |
| Lilybaeum | Lorenzo Musetti | 5.23K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Lorenzo Musetti | 5.19K |
| lobbb1 | Lorenzo Musetti | 5.13K |
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