Analytics
Resolved Musetti on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Musetti at 55.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 25 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2026 to 26 Jan 2026, the price held at 44.5%. $1.19M traded over the market's life.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | 44.5% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SammySledge | Fritz | 124.15K |
| Donghui | Fritz | 91K |
| knedloveprovelo | Fritz | 14.48K |
| Bienville | Fritz | 14.37K |
| shigmabets | Fritz | 8.32K |
| jizzbucket57 | Fritz | 7K |
| MyDuck | Fritz | 5.8K |
| Garf14 | Fritz | 4K |
| Aged-Pacemaker | Fritz | 3.6K |
| ArbitrageFund | Fritz | 3.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-fritz-2026-01-26
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