Analytics
Resolved Giron on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Giron at 54.5%. The Muller side opened at 51% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 11 Jan 2026 and the low 45.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $40.94K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Muller price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 11 Jan 2026 – 13 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Muller price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 51.0% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bienville | Muller | 8.24K |
| rox119 | Muller | 800 |
| Quiet-Freak | Muller | 500 |
| nhlBoss | Muller | 434.78 |
| chobanilounge | Muller | 400 |
| rufusteague | Muller | 319.15 |
| slimjoe | Muller | 307.67 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Muller | 218 |
| Kev666 | Muller | 212.77 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Muller | 211 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Marcos Giron in the ASB Classic, scheduled for January 11 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Marcos Giron. This market will resolve to 'Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Alexandre Muller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-muller-giron-2026-01-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
