Analytics
Resolved Elmer Moeller on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Elmer Moeller at 47.5%. The Thiago Monteiro side opened at 52.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 5 Oct 2026, the price held at 52.5%. $1.33M traded over the market's life.
134 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 9:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Thiago Monteiro price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 5 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Thiago Monteiro price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Thiago Monteiro | 24.15K |
| kkookkoo | Thiago Monteiro | 14K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Thiago Monteiro | 8.45K |
| LFP272 | Thiago Monteiro |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Elmer Moeller in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-monteir-moeller-2026-10-05
| 3.48K |
| XPX0086 | Thiago Monteiro | 3.12K |
| DCAETH | Thiago Monteiro | 3.1K |
| lifeonrock | Thiago Monteiro | 2.95K |
| lkjasdf | Thiago Monteiro | 2K |
| ehsantrade | Thiago Monteiro | 1.72K |
| Yesyesyesme | Thiago Monteiro | 1.59K |
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