Analytics
Resolved Lukas Neumayer on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lukas Neumayer at 54.5%. The Elmer Moeller side opened at 50% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 14 Oct 2026. $277.2K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 6:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Elmer Moeller price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Elmer Moeller price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Faithful-Jazz | Elmer Moeller | 9.56K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Elmer Moeller | 3.85K |
| qrup | Elmer Moeller | 357.85 |
| topdogbigboi | Elmer Moeller | 323.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-moeller-neumaye-2026-10-12
| Lunar Sphinx A314 | Elmer Moeller | 171.43 |
| poshposh | Elmer Moeller | 161.43 |
| Ghipolito | Elmer Moeller | 151.52 |
| Deafening-Possible | Elmer Moeller | 150 |
| tradecraft | Elmer Moeller | 138.24 |
| neutralwave23 | Elmer Moeller | 126.37 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
