Analytics
Resolved Tsitsipas on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Tsitsipas at 86%. Yes opened at 16% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 16% on 16 Jan 2026 and the lowest 14% on 20 Jan 2026. $99.66K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 10%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 16.0% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| robinvanpersie | Mochizuki | 1.86K |
| slimjoe | Mochizuki | 375 |
| 888888888888888888888888888888888888888 | Mochizuki | 357.14 |
| Hooliganz | Mochizuki |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mochizu-tsitsip-2026-01-18
| 328.52 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Mochizuki | 220 |
| Endgamepol | Mochizuki | 211.9 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Mochizuki | 182 |
| Stable-Petal | Mochizuki | 152.25 |
| gorgeyeung | Mochizuki | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Mochizuki | 122 |
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