Analytics
Resolved Shintaro Mochizuki on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Shintaro Mochizuki at 69.5%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 1 Jul 2026. $532.41K traded over the market's life.
115 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 26%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 31.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| one8tyfive | Ethan Quinn | 21.48K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Ethan Quinn | 19.82K |
| pm8cmc | Ethan Quinn | 7.86K |
| Numb-Ramie | Ethan Quinn | 6.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Ethan Quinn in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Ethan Quinn. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if Ethan Quinn advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mochizu-quinn-2026-07-01
| Artfulone | Ethan Quinn | 6.14K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Ethan Quinn | 5.6K |
| phredmoz | Ethan Quinn | 5.03K |
| neutralwave23 | Ethan Quinn | 3.73K |
| gladiatorbets | Ethan Quinn | 2.43K |
| derriver | Ethan Quinn | 2.28K |
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