Analytics
Resolved Baena on 15 Feb 2026.
$11.73K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Mochizuki price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 15 Feb 2026, chart shows 36%–48%
| Observed | Mochizuki price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 42.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bienville | Mochizuki | 420.31 |
| whuising | Mochizuki | 138.88 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Mochizuki | 121 |
| Bagwell306 | Mochizuki | 100 |
| Shabby-Mayonnaise | Mochizuki | 78.03 |
| Arbga2026 | Mochizuki | 76 |
| Endgamepol | Mochizuki | 48.78 |
| Creative-Vine | Mochizuki | 47.62 |
| knedloveprovelo | Mochizuki | 37 |
| Celticpride | Mochizuki | 35.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Qatar Open, Qualification, scheduled for February 15 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mochizu-baena-2026-02-15
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