Analytics
Resolved Alex de Minaur on 4 Oct 2026.
$796.73K traded over the market's life.
154 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alex de Minaur price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Alex de Minaur price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| askilika | Andrey Rublev | 151.58K |
| ohcanada123 | Andrey Rublev | 50.32K |
| Kkunn | Andrey Rublev | 20.56K |
| xabidaking | Andrey Rublev | 7.92K |
| GamblingOdyssey | Andrey Rublev | 5.99K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Andrey Rublev | 5.96K |
| astapzippo | Andrey Rublev | 4K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Andrey Rublev | 2.74K |
| TennisChokers | Andrey Rublev | 1.31K |
| Artfulone | Andrey Rublev | 1.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-rublev-2026-10-04
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