Analytics
Resolved Tommy Paul on 22 May 2026.
$1.32M traded over the market's life.
301 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 8:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 22 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 50%–62%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 56.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dangmole | Alex De Minaur | 74.14K |
| NO.9kami | Alex De Minaur | 36K |
| Azure Signal 4595 | Alex De Minaur | 21.52K |
| NorthBalticMan9 | Alex De Minaur | 19.45K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Alex De Minaur | 16.31K |
| penguinx | Alex De Minaur | 12.82K |
| ericiscat | Alex De Minaur | 9K |
| Sophisticated-Rest | Alex De Minaur | 7.2K |
| Izxat | Alex De Minaur | 5.95K |
| pkcccc | Alex De Minaur | 3.6K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-paul-2026-05-22
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