Analytics
Resolved Alex de Minaur on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex de Minaur at 78.5%. The Alex de Minaur side opened at 78.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 79.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 78.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $182.58K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 5:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alex de Minaur price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 74%–84%
| Observed | Alex de Minaur price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 78.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 78.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Mariano Navone | 24.38K |
| Y33 | Mariano Navone | 5.19K |
| itb08081982 | Mariano Navone | 3.63K |
| w... | Mariano Navone | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-navone-2026-09-29
| EclipseChaser | Mariano Navone | 1.1K |
| Dirty-Burn | Mariano Navone | 1.1K |
| pregameebk | Mariano Navone | 1K |
| Aromatic-Birdbath | Mariano Navone | 999.96 |
| Hyunglovehisfam | Mariano Navone | 835.58 |
| Indigo Maven 8C9E | Mariano Navone | 591.95 |
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