Analytics
Resolved Brandon Nakashima on 31 Jul 2026.
$1.14M traded over the market's life.
206 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 31 Jul 2026, chart shows 56%–68%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArturitoFilito | Alex De Minaur | 30K |
| Lunar Comet BF4B | Alex De Minaur | 18.25K |
| danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Alex De Minaur | 14.29K |
| Vps1 | Alex De Minaur | 13K |
| HerbertAppreciator | Alex De Minaur | 11.37K |
| 8a7sh2 | Alex De Minaur | 6.23K |
| ChompChomp888 | Alex De Minaur | 5.65K |
| EasyMoneyComing | Alex De Minaur | 4.76K |
| Heavenly-Color | Alex De Minaur | 4.25K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Alex De Minaur | 4.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-nakashi-2026-07-31
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