Analytics
Resolved Brandon Nakashima on 19 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Brandon Nakashima at 29.5%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 18 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 70.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the low 69.5% on 18 Jun 2026. $337.92K traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 12:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 18 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 64%–76%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 69.5% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 70.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Signal 4595 | Alex De Minaur | 28.02K |
| Hongweiqian | Alex De Minaur | 14.77K |
| Zer010 | Alex De Minaur | 5K |
| JoeytheReal | Alex De Minaur | 2.74K |
| Creastyk | Alex De Minaur | 2.5K |
| Livid-Hospice | Alex De Minaur | 2.42K |
| omnibus-00c8ef | Alex De Minaur | 2.15K |
| 324deeoi234 | Alex De Minaur | 2.09K |
| dffdff22 | Alex De Minaur | 1.95K |
| Overdue-Use | Alex De Minaur | 1.91K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-nakashi-2026-06-19
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