Analytics
Resolved Alex de Minaur on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex de Minaur at 72.5%. The Alex de Minaur side opened at 71.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 72.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 71.5% on 2 Oct 2026. $735.74K traded over the market's life.
158 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 6:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alex de Minaur price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 66%–78%
| Observed | Alex de Minaur price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Quentin Halys | 33.14K |
| acorp | Quentin Halys | 20.01K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Quentin Halys | 3K |
| MrBently | Quentin Halys | 2.6K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Quentin Halys | 2.6K |
| brownworkgloves | Quentin Halys | 2.23K |
| 0x2022x | Quentin Halys | 1.98K |
| Swift Summit 3D45 | Quentin Halys | 1.1K |
| Buttery-Vanilla-Croissant | Quentin Halys | 999.99 |
| Keilerbets | Quentin Halys | 864.29 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Quentin Halys in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-halys-2026-10-01
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