Analytics
Resolved Michelsen on 7 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Michelsen at 36.5%. The Michelsen side opened at 40.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 7 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 7 Jan 2026. $47.27K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 8, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Michelsen price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 7 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Michelsen price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 40.5% |
| 7 Jan 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RebornAthena | Tien | 5.51K |
| Same-Incidence | Tien | 2.22K |
| TENETENET | Tien | 500 |
| Joking22 | Tien | 312.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien in the Brisbane International, scheduled for January 5 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-michels-tien-2026-01-05
| wibba | Tien | 175 |
| Azub | Tien | 130 |
| Travisscotta | Tien | 84.56 |
| Stable-Petal | Tien | 82.99 |
| Luidji | Tien | 64.87 |
| Creative-Vine | Tien | 38.46 |
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