Analytics
Resolved Alex Michelsen on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Michelsen at 47.5%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 29 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2026 to 30 Jul 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 29 Jul 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 52.5% on 30 Jul 2026. $314.44K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 1:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Jul 2026 – 30 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | 67.5% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 19.68K |
| NewTeamSosed2 | Adrian Mannarino | 10K |
| Offbeat-Tanker | Adrian Mannarino | 6.38K |
| jiiivi655 | Adrian Mannarino |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-michels-mannari-2026-07-29
| 3.93K |
| robinvanpersie | Adrian Mannarino | 3K |
| Y33 | Adrian Mannarino | 2.14K |
| k56 | Adrian Mannarino | 2K |
| tati3.0 | Adrian Mannarino | 1.74K |
| Hunter33 | Adrian Mannarino | 1.7K |
| Follow555 | Adrian Mannarino | 1.7K |
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