Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 29 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 80.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 29 May 2026, the highest close was 19.5% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 18% on 28 May 2026. $1.35M traded over the market's life.
239 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 5:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 May 2026 – 29 May 2026, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 18.0% |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Signal 4595 | Alex Michelsen | 106.47K |
| BaccaratRoulette | Alex Michelsen | 20.31K |
| Silver Beacon 5048 | Alex Michelsen | 13.81K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Alex Michelsen |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Rafael Jodar in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-michels-jodar-2026-05-29
| 10.46K |
| megashvbwuy | Alex Michelsen | 6.85K |
| timetowander | Alex Michelsen | 5K |
| not4fun | Alex Michelsen | 5K |
| gutif12 | Alex Michelsen | 4.55K |
| Numb-Ramie | Alex Michelsen | 4.5K |
| User1244322 | Alex Michelsen | 4.46K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
