Analytics
Resolved Lukas Neumayer on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lukas Neumayer at 67.5%. The Daniel Michalski side opened at 27% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the low 27% on 12 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 32.5% on 13 Aug 2026. $71.39K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 10:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniel Michalski price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 13 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–35%
| Observed | Daniel Michalski price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 27.0% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Daniel Michalski | 4.37K |
| UpTheBlues | Daniel Michalski | 3.46K |
| Rapid Pulse AF4F | Daniel Michalski | 2.65K |
| thestingsnake | Daniel Michalski | 2.52K |
| gugul | Daniel Michalski | 974.19 |
| oliverea | Daniel Michalski | 967.74 |
| TE2137 | Daniel Michalski | 500 |
| Frightening-Start | Daniel Michalski | 384.51 |
| Hyunglovehisfam | Daniel Michalski | 290.37 |
| marketmesh | Daniel Michalski | 178.87 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Lukas Neumayer in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Daniel Michalski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-michals-neumaye-2026-08-13
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