Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 30 Aug 2026 and the low 7.4% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7.5% on 31 Aug 2026. $43 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 7.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Porto, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-michals-canas-2026-08-31
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