Analytics
Resolved Miguel Damas on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Miguel Damas at 63%. The Alvaro Guillen Meza side opened at 69% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 69% on 2 Mar 2026 and the low 37% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 37% on 4 Mar 2026. $100.37K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 7:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Alvaro Guillen Meza price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 2 Mar 2026 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Alvaro Guillen Meza price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 69.0% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Library | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2.62K |
| Worthless-Credibility | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 568.13 |
| Vivacious-Bankbook | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 524 |
| Menacing-Helium | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 503.02 |
| riquelme | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 465.58 |
| PMHedgeFund | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 442 |
| etshdahadthjnsfjnAHBETNTEA | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 354 |
| Closed-Comfort | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 238.1 |
| monkeyurl1to1 | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 214.33 |
| Sparkling-Rope | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Miguel Damas in the Brasilia, scheduled for March 2 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Guillen Meza' if Alvaro Guillen Meza advances against Miguel Damas. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Alvaro Guillen Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-meza-damas-2026-03-02
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